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1

p -Values, Bayes Factors, and Sufficiency

Rougier, Jonathan

Journal:

The American Statistician

Year:

2019

Language:

english

File:

PDF, 1011 KB

english, 2019

2

An optimal price index for stock index futures contracts

Rougier, Jonathan

Journal:

Journal of Futures Markets

Year:

1996

Language:

english

File:

PDF, 461 KB

english, 1996

3

Climate change : making certain what the uncertainties are

Richard Chandler, Jonathan Rougier, Mat Collins

Journal:

Year:

2010

Language:

english

File:

PDF, 404 KB

english, 2010

4

Trading volume and contract rollover in futures contracts

Phil Holmes, Jonathan Rougier

Journal:

Journal of Empirical Finance

Year:

2005

Language:

english

File:

PDF, 988 KB

english, 2005

5

Probabilistic Formulations for Transferring Inferences from Mathematical Models to Physical Systems

Goldstein, Michael, Rougier, Jonathan

Journal:

SIAM Journal on Scientific Computing

Year:

2004

Language:

english

File:

PDF, 216 KB

english, 2004

6

Probabilistic leak detection in pipelines using the mass imbalance approach

Rougier, JonathaN.

Journal:

Journal of Hydraulic Research

Year:

2005

Language:

english

File:

PDF, 11.94 MB

english, 2005

7

Risk and Uncertainty Assessment for Natural Hazards || Risk and uncertainty assessment of volcanic hazards

Rougier, Jonathan, Sparks, Steve, Hill, Lisa

Year:

2013

Language:

english

File:

PDF, 839 KB

english, 2013

8

Confidence in risk assessments

Rougier, Jonathan

Journal:

Journal of the Royal Statistical Society: Series A (Statistics in Society)

Year:

2019

Language:

english

File:

PDF, 701 KB

english, 2019

9

The Exact Form of the âOckham Factorâ in Model Selection

Rougier, Jonathan, Priebe, Carey E.

Journal:

The American Statistician

Year:

2020

File:

PDF, 1008 KB

2020

10

Bayesian spatio-temporal inference of trace gas emissions using an integrated nested Laplacian approximation and Gaussian Markov random fields

Western, Luke M., Sha, Zhe, Rigby, Matthew, Ganesan, Anita L., Manning, Alistair J., Stanley, Kieran M., O&amp, apos, Doherty, Simon J., Young, Dickon, Rougier, Jonathan

Journal:

Geoscientific Model Development

Year:

2020

File:

PDF, 2.48 MB

2020

11

Reified Bayesian modelling and inference for physical systems

Michael Goldstein, Jonathan Rougier

Journal:

Journal of Statistical Planning and Inference

Year:

2009

Language:

english

File:

PDF, 371 KB

english, 2009

12

Reified Bayesian modelling: Issues and opportunities (response to the discussion)

Michael Goldstein, Jonathan Rougier

Journal:

Journal of Statistical Planning and Inference

Year:

2009

Language:

english

File:

PDF, 129 KB

english, 2009

13

Precalibrating an intermediate complexity climate model

Neil R. Edwards, David Cameron, Jonathan Rougier

Journal:

Climate Dynamics

Year:

2011

Language:

english

File:

PDF, 1.95 MB

english, 2011

14

Probabilistic Inference for Future Climate Using an Ensemble of Climate Model Evaluations

Jonathan Rougier

Journal:

Climatic Change

Year:

2007

Language:

english

File:

PDF, 337 KB

english, 2007

15

A Bayesian analysis of fluid flow in pipe-lines

Jonathan Rougier, Michael Goldstein

Journal:

Journal of the Royal Statistical Society: Series C (Applied Statistics)

Year:

2001

Language:

english

File:

PDF, 307 KB

english, 2001

16

Measuring Social Mobility as Unpredictability

Simon C. Parker, Jonathan Rougier

Journal:

Year:

2001

Language:

english

File:

PDF, 414 KB

english, 2001

17

A Graphical Diagnostic for Identifying Influential Model Choices in Bayesian Hierarchical Models

IDA SCHEEL, PETER J. GREEN, JONATHAN C. ROUGIER

Journal:

Scandinavian Journal of Statistics

Year:

2011

Language:

english

File:

PDF, 6.95 MB

english, 2011

18

Predicting snow velocity in large chute flows under different environmental conditions

Jonathan Rougier, Martin Kern

Journal:

Journal of the Royal Statistical Society: Series C (Applied Statistics)

Year:

2010

Language:

english

File:

PDF, 1.93 MB

english, 2010

19

Statistical problems in the probabilistic prediction of climate change

David B. Stephenson, Matthew Collins, Jonathan C. Rougier, Richard E. Chandler

Journal:

Year:

2012

Language:

english

File:

PDF, 240 KB

english, 2012

20

Real Business Cycles, Investment Finance, and Multiple Equilibria

Brian Hillier, Jonathan Rougier

Journal:

Journal of Economic Theory

Year:

1999

Language:

english

File:

PDF, 235 KB

english, 1999

21

Quantifying future climate change

Collins, Matthew, Chandler, Richard E., Cox, Peter M., Huthnance, John M., Rougier, Jonathan, Stephenson, David B.

Journal:

Nature Climate Change

Year:

2012

Language:

english

File:

PDF, 681 KB

english, 2012

22

Calibrated prediction of Pine Island Glacier retreat during the 21st and 22nd centuries with a coupled flowline model

Rupert M. Gladstone, Victoria Lee, Jonathan Rougier, Antony J. Payne, Hartmut Hellmer, Anne Le Brocq, Andrew Shepherd, Tamsin L. Edwards, Jonathan Gregory, Stephen L. Cornford

Journal:

Earth and Planetary Science Letters

Year:

2012

Language:

english

File:

PDF, 4.09 MB

english, 2012

23

Risk and Uncertainty Assessment for Natural Hazards ||

Rougier, Jonathan, Sparks, Steve, Hill, Lisa

Year:

2013

Language:

english

File:

PDF, 160 KB

english, 2013

24

Second-Order Exchangeability Analysis for Multimodel Ensembles

Rougier, Jonathan, Goldstein, Michael, House, Leanna

Journal:

Journal of the American Statistical Association

Year:

2013

Language:

english

File:

PDF, 857 KB

english, 2013

25

Bayesian Forecasting for Complex Systems Using Computer Simulators

Peter S. Craig, Michael Goldstein, Jonathan C. Rougier and Allan H. Seheult

Journal:

Journal of the American Statistical Association

Year:

2001

Language:

english

File:

PDF, 1.96 MB

english, 2001

26

Bayes Linear Calibrated Prediction for Complex Systems

Michael Goldstein and Jonathan Rougier

Journal:

Journal of the American Statistical Association

Year:

2006

Language:

english

File:

PDF, 1.70 MB

english, 2006

27

Expert Knowledge and Multivariate Emulation: The Thermosphere–Ionosphere Electrodynamics General Circulation Model (TIE-GCM)

Rougier, Jonathan, Guillas, Serge, Maute, Astrid, Richmond, Arthur D.

Journal:

Year:

2009

Language:

english

File:

PDF, 654 KB

english, 2009

28

Bayes Linear Calibrated Prediction for Complex Systems

Goldstein, Michael, Rougier, Jonathan

Journal:

Journal of the American Statistical Association

Year:

2006

Language:

english

File:

PDF, 379 KB

english, 2006

29

The retirement behaviour of the self-employed in Britain

Parker, Simon C., Rougier, Jonathan C.

Journal:

Applied Economics

Year:

2007

Language:

english

File:

PDF, 200 KB

english, 2007

30

The impact of margin-traders on the distribution of daily stock returns: the London Stock Exchange

Rougier, Jonathan

Journal:

Applied Financial Economics

Year:

1993

Language:

english

File:

PDF, 766 KB

english, 1993

31

The impact of margin-traders on the distribution of daily stock returns: the London Stock Exchange

Rougier, Jonathan

Journal:

Applied Financial Economics

Year:

1993

Language:

english

File:

PDF, 335 KB

english, 1993

32

Resolving the Antarctic contribution to sea-level rise: a hierarchical modelling framework

Zammit-Mangion, Andrew, Rougier, Jonathan, Bamber, Jonathan, Schön, Nana

Journal:

Year:

2014

Language:

english

File:

PDF, 3.84 MB

english, 2014

33

A simple necessary condition for negativity in the almost ideal demand system with the Stone price index

Rougier, Jonathan

Journal:

Applied Economics Letters

Year:

1997

Language:

english

File:

PDF, 149 KB

english, 1997

34

Bayesian Forecasting for Complex Systems Using Computer Simulators

Craig, Peter S, Goldstein, Michael, Rougier, Jonathan C, Seheult, Allan H

Journal:

Journal of the American Statistical Association

Year:

2001

Language:

english

File:

PDF, 381 KB

english, 2001

35

How to weigh a donkey in the Kenyan countryside

Milner, Kate, Rougier, Jonathan

Journal:

Year:

2014

Language:

english

File:

PDF, 1021 KB

english, 2014

36

Climate Simulators and Climate Projections

Rougier, Jonathan, Goldstein, Michael

Journal:

Annual Review of Statistics and Its Application

Year:

2014

Language:

english

File:

PDF, 1.13 MB

english, 2014

37

Efficient Emulators for Multivariate Deterministic Functions

Rougier, Jonathan

Journal:

Journal of Computational and Graphical Statistics

Year:

2008

Language:

english

File:

PDF, 156 KB

english, 2008

38

Multivariate spatio-temporal modelling for assessing Antarctica's present-day contribution to sea-level rise

Zammit-Mangion, Andrew, Rougier, Jonathan, Schön, Nana, Lindgren, Finn, Bamber, Jonathan

Journal:

Year:

2015

Language:

english

File:

PDF, 3.49 MB

english, 2015

39

Analyzing the Climate Sensitivity of the HadSM3 Climate Model Using Ensembles from Different but Related Experiments

Rougier, Jonathan, Sexton, David M. H., Murphy, James M., Stainforth, David

Journal:

Journal of Climate

Year:

2009

Language:

english

File:

PDF, 1008 KB

english, 2009

40

DISCUSSION OF: A STATISTICAL ANALYSIS OF MULTIPLE TEMPERATURE PROXIES: ARE RECONSTRUCTIONS OF SURFACE TEMPERATURES OVER THE LAST 1000 YEARS RELIABLE?

Jonathan Rougier

Journal:

The Annals of Applied Statistics

Year:

2011

Language:

english

File:

PDF, 295 KB

english, 2011

41

Uncertainty analysis of a model of wind-blown volcanic plumes

Woodhouse, Mark J., Hogg, Andrew J., Phillips, Jeremy C., Rougier, Jonathan C.

Journal:

Bulletin of Volcanology

Year:

2015

Language:

english

File:

PDF, 7.65 MB

english, 2015

42

Sensitivity analysis of environmental models: A systematic review with practical workflow

Pianosi, Francesca, Beven, Keith, Freer, Jim, Hall, Jim W., Rougier, Jonathan, Stephenson, David B., Wagener, Thorsten

Journal:

Environmental Modelling & Software

Year:

2016

Language:

english

File:

PDF, 1.96 MB

english, 2016

43

A data-driven approach for assessing ice-sheet mass balance in space and time

Zammit-Mangion, Andrew, Bamber, Jonathan L., Schoen, Nana W., Rougier, Jonathan C.

Journal:

Annals of Glaciology

Year:

2015

Language:

english

File:

PDF, 2.09 MB

english, 2015

44

A Bayesian Analysis of Fluid Flow in Pipe-Lines

Jonathan Rougier and Michael Goldstein

Journal:

Journal of the Royal Statistical Society: Series C (Applied Statistics)

Year:

2001

Language:

english

File:

PDF, 1.39 MB

english, 2001

45

Efficient Emulators for Multivariate Deterministic Functions

Jonathan Rougier

Journal:

Journal of Computational and Graphical Statistics

Year:

2008

Language:

english

File:

PDF, 1.33 MB

english, 2008

46

Measuring Social Mobility as Unpredictability

Simon C. Parker and Jonathan Rougier

Journal:

Year:

2001

Language:

english

File:

PDF, 1.71 MB

english, 2001

47

Ensemble averaging and mean squared error

Rougier, Jonathan

Journal:

Journal of Climate

Year:

2016

Language:

english

File:

PDF, 875 KB

english, 2016

48

Server Advantage in Tennis Matches

I. M. MacPhee, Jonathan Rougier and G. H. Pollard

Journal:

Journal of Applied Probability

Year:

2004

Language:

english

File:

PDF, 252 KB

english, 2004

49

Discussion of: A statistical analysis of multiple temperature proxies: Are reconstructions of surface temperatures over the last 1000 years reliable?

Rougier, Jonathan

Journal:

The Annals of Applied Statistics

Year:

2011

Language:

english

File:

PDF, 36 KB

english, 2011

50

Server advantage in tennis matches

MacPhee, Iain, Rougier, Jonathan, Pollard, G. H.

Journal:

Journal of Applied Probability

Year:

2004

Language:

english

File:

PDF, 70 KB

english, 2004